Market Analysis for 11th June 25

Market Analysis for 11th June 25 : 

Nifty Set for Positive Momentum on Institutional Support

Date: June 10, 2025 | Target Release: June 11, 2025

Cash Market Snapshot

• FII Activity: Net Buy of ₹2,301.87 Cr
• DII Activity: Net Buy of ₹1,113.34 Cr
• Nifty Close: 25,104

Strong institutional buying in the cash market signals robust confidence. FIIs extended their bullish stance, while DIIs complemented with sustained inflows. This sets a positive tone for Wednesday’s session.

Derivatives Positioning: Key Insights

1. FIIs & Retail (Client): Bullish Dominance
   • FIIs: Net long derivatives (26.16% long vs. 19.96% short).
     • Notable Activity: Heavy call writing in index options (44,125 contracts short) suggests profit booking at higher levels.
   • Retail (Client): Aggressively long (50.35% long vs. 37.73% short).
     • Spotlight: Massive long positions in index calls (3,22,539 contracts) and stock futures (17,212 contracts), signaling retail conviction in upside.
2. DIIs: Cautious Hedging
   • Net short in derivatives (22.06% short exposure).
   • Key Move: Significant shorting in stock futures (-23,708 contracts) despite cash buying, indicating portfolio protection.
3. Proprietary Traders (Pro): Bearish Bias
   • Net short in index calls (90,463 contracts) and long in index puts (67,667 contracts), reflecting expectations of resistance near 25,200.

Critical Options Data: Support & Resistance

• Index Options OI Concentration:
  • Max Call OI at 25,200 (resistance).
  • Max Put OI at 25,000 (support).
• PCR Analysis:
  • Retail PCR (Put-Call Ratio) at 0.41 (134k puts vs. 322k calls) → Extreme bullish sentiment.
  • FII PCR at 1.24 (48k puts vs. 39k calls) → Hedging against pullbacks.

Tomorrow’s Outlook (June 11)

• Bullish Triggers:
  • Sustained FII/DII cash inflows.
  • Retail’s aggressive call buying and stock futures buildup.
  • Support base at 25,000 (strong put OI).
• Cautions:
  • FII call writing and Pro shorting at 25,200 may cap upside.
  • DIIs’ derivatives hedging hints at volatility.

Nifty Strategy:

• Opening: Gap-up likely near 25,150–25,180.
• Resistance: 25,200 (breakout requires FII long rollovers).
• Support: 25,000 (strong put defense).
• Trade Setup:
  • Longs: Buy near 25,050–25,080 (stop loss 24,950).
  • Calls: 25,150–25,200 strikes for momentum plays.
  • Puts: Hedge at 25,000 if opening gap fades.

Final Call:

Nifty aims for 25,200+, backed by institutional liquidity. Watch FII derivatives behavior at 25,200 for breakout sustainability. Retail optimism is a tailwind, but profit-booking at resistance remains a risk.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on June 10 data. Monitor pre-market cues for global/domestic catalysts.

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