Derivatives & Participant Outlook for Tomorrow
Participant Activity Snapshot
| Client Type | Derivatives Action | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| Clients | Strong build-up in Index Futures Longs (+8903), significant Index Call & Put Longs | Aggressively bullish, likely retail-driven anticipation of upside |
| DIIs | Small futures positioning, no major options activity | Mild support, but strong cash buying |
| FIIs | Heavy unwinding of Index Options (Net Call Short: -239K, Put Short: -121K), mixed Futures | Mixed to cautious, but net bullish cash flows |
| Pros | High activity with net short Index Options, unwinding Put Shorts | Neutral-to-bearish hedging |
Cash Market Insight
- DII Net Buying: ₹7,911.99 Cr
- FII Net Buying: ₹4,662.92 Cr
💡 Significant institutional buying could act as a strong floor for any dip, suggesting smart money confidence in a near-term bounce.
Derivatives Summary
- Total Long Contracts: 1,96,077
- Total Short Contracts: 1,96,077
-
% Long: 22.81% | % Short: 22.29%
This balanced OI composition suggests a potential breakout scenario forming — volatility may expand next week.
Market Prediction for Tomorrow
With Nifty last at 24,826, here’s the outlook:
| Direction | Range | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 🔼 Upside | 24,950 – 25,050 | Strong retail and institutional support, short covering expected if 24,900 breaks |
| 🔽 Downside | 24,720 – 24,650 | Hedging by Pros & mixed FII options data could cap gains temporarily |
Option Matrix India Verdict
- 🟢 Buy on Dips strategy preferred until 24,650 holds
- 🔁 Expect a breakout above 24,950 to lead toward 25,100+
- ⚠️ Watch for volatility early Monday due to expiry adjustments and global cues