Tomorrow's Market View (Based on Participant Data)
Date: Based on today’s data snapshot
Source: Participant-wise Open Interest + Cash Market Flow
Cash Market Snapshot:
- DII: Buy ₹3,715 Cr → Positive sentiment from domestic institutions
- FII/FPI: Sell ₹5,045.36 Cr → Heavy outflow, a negative drag on sentiment
Participant-Wise Positioning (Derivatives Data):
Clients:
- Net Long in Futures (Index + Stock): +45,255 contracts
- Net Long in Options (Call & Put): Long biased
- 🔸 View: Retail traders are bullish, especially in stock futures and stock options.
DIIs (Domestic Institutions):
- Net Long in Futures: +3,612 contracts
- Heavy short in stock options
- 🔸 View: Neutral to slightly bearish, possibly hedging via options
FIIs (Foreign Institutions):
- Net Short in Futures: -17,002 contracts
- Aggressive shorts across Index Options and Futures
- 🔸 View: Strong bearish stance, adding downside pressure
Pros (Prop Traders):
- Slightly Long in Futures: +30,015 contracts
- Net Short in Options: heavy short on puts (hedging?)
- 🔸 View: Mixed to Bearish, with large option plays
Total Market Bias:
- Total Long Contracts: -29.55 lakh
- Total Short Contracts: -29.55 lakh
- 🔄 Balanced Open Interest, but the composition is bearish due to FIIs and hedging activity by Pros and DIIs.
Tomorrow’s Market Outlook:
Despite strong DII buying in the cash market, FII outflows and aggressive short positions in derivatives suggest caution for tomorrow. Expect volatility with a bearish-to-rangebound bias, especially if global cues remain weak.
📌 Sectors to Watch:
- Defensive stocks may gain support
- Avoid high-beta stocks unless volumes indicate reversal
- Option sellers may dominate if rangebound movement continues