Technical Analysis 25th June 2025: Nifty in Consolidation Mode
Introduction
The Indian Stock Market remains rangebound as global geopolitical tensions and crude oil fluctuations influence investor sentiment. Today’s Nifty analysis focuses on key levels and trading strategies to navigate the derivative market efficiently.
Global Market Impact
- US-Mediated Ceasefire Fails to Calm Markets
- Despite the US announcing a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, both nations continue minor skirmishes, keeping risk sentiment fragile.
- Crude oil prices fell below $66/barrel, providing slight relief to inflation-sensitive sectors.
- The Indian Rupee hovered near 86.043/USD, reflecting dollar strength and FII outflows.
- How Global Cues Affect Indian stock Markets
- A drop in crude supports Bank Nifty and Auto stocks, but geopolitical risks may cap upside.
- FPI flows remain cautious, keeping derivative market activity muted.
Nifty Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support & Resistance Levels
- Immediate Support: 24,970 (Today’s low)
- Strong Support: 24,826 (50 EMA) & 24,702 (Weekly low)
- Resistance: 25,131 (Intraday high) & 25,313 (Previous swing high)
2. Trading Strategy for 25th June 2025
- Bullish Confirmation Trade:
- Entry: 15-min candle close above 25,313
- Targets: 25,222 → 25,338
- Stop Loss: Below 25,100
- Bearish Breakdown Trade:
- Entry: 15-min candle close below 24,970
- Targets: 24,826 → 24,702
- Stop Loss: Above 25,050
Nifty chart analysis 25th June 2025:
- No-Trading Zone: 24,970 – 25,131 (Wait for confirmation before taking trades).
- Bullish Scenario:
- If a 15-minute candle closes above 25,313, expect targets at 25,222 & 25,338.
- If price crosses 24,970 but closes above it, upside targets are 25,075 & 25,222.
- Bearish Scenario:
- If a 15-minute candle closes below 25,131, first target is today’s close (25,044.35) or 24,970, then 24,850.
- If price closes below 24,970, next supports are 24,826 & 24,702.
Key Rule:
- No bullish trades in bearish candles, no bearish trades in bullish candles.
- Buy only in confirmed bullish candles, sell only in bearish candles.
3. Derivative Market Sentiment
- OI Data: Highest Call OI at 25,500, Put OI at 24,800 indicates a rangebound market.
- PCR Ratio: At 0.92, suggesting slight bearish bias.
Sector-Wise Analysis
- Banking & Financials: Support at 56,300 (Nifty Bank) – Buy on dips if crude remains soft.
- IT Stocks: Weak Rupee may provide short-term relief.
- Auto & Energy: Beneficiaries of lower crude prices.
Conclusion & Trade Plan
- Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
- Follow candle rules: Only trade bullish setups in green candles, bearish in red candles.
- Key Levels to Watch: 24,970 (Support) & 25,313 (Resistance).
Final Word: The Indian Stock Market is in a consolidation phase. Traders should adopt a rangebound strategy with strict stop losses. For more stock market predictions, stay tuned to Option Matrix India!