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Market Prediction for 18 July 2025

Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis Based on FII/DII Activity & Option Chain Data
17 July 2025 by
P. Kalita
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Market Prediction for 18 July 25 – Bearish Trend Continues?

Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis Based on FII/DII Activity & Option Chain Data

📉 Key Takeaways for July 17, 2025:

  • Nifty closed at 25,111.45 (-0.40%)Bank Nifty at 56,828.80 (-0.60%).
  • FIIs were net sellers (-₹3,670 Cr), while DIIs bought ₹2,717 Cr.
  • Pro traders increased short positions, signaling caution.
  • Critical Levels:
    • Nifty Support: 25,000 | Resistance: 25,300
    • Bank Nifty Support: 56,500 | Resistance: 57,500

Today’s Market Overview 

  • Nifty: 25,111.45 (-0.40%)
  • Bank Nifty: 56,828.80 (-0.60%)
  • FIIs (Cash Market): Net Sellers (-₹3,670 Cr)
  • DIIs (Cash Market): Net Buyers (+₹2,717 Cr)

Key Observations:

✅ FIIs selling heavily → Bearish pressure.

✅ DIIs provided support, but not enough to reverse trend.

✅ Pro traders increased shorts → More downside risk.

✅ Range-bound movement: Nifty (25,101-25,238), Bank Nifty (56,780-57,262).

Derivative Market Analysis

FII & Pro Trader Activity (Bearish Signals)

Participants

Index Futures (Short Increase)Index Options (Call Writing)

FIIs

+8,359 contracts short

Heavy call writing (-90,220)

Pro Traders

+3,504 contracts short

Aggressive put selling (-450,675)

DIIs-2,000 contracts shortMinor call buying (+1,500)

📌 Key Insight: FIIs & Pro traders are betting on downside, while DIIs provide mild support.

Nifty Option Chain 

  • Highest Call OI: 25,500 (73,698 contracts) → Strong Resistance
  • Highest Put OI: 25,000 (3,37,412 contracts) → Major Support
  • PCR (Put-Call Ratio): 0.85 (Bearish)

📌 Prediction:

  • If Nifty holds 25,000, bounce to 25,200-25,300 possible.
  • If 25,000 breaks, sharp fall to 24,800 likely.

Bank Nifty Option Chain 

  • Highest Call OI: 57,500 (33,516 contracts) → Resistance
  • Highest Put OI: 56,000 (71,207 contracts) → Support
  • PCR: 0.78 (Bearish)

📌 Prediction:

  • If Bank Nifty holds 56,500, recovery to 57,000-57,200 possible.
  • If 56,000 breaks, next support at 55,800.

Market Prediction for July 18, 2025

Bullish Scenario (If FIIs Stop Selling)

  • Nifty: Recovery to 25,200-25,300.
  • Bank Nifty: Bounce to 57,000-57,500.

Bearish Scenario (If FIIs Keep Selling)

  • Nifty: Breakdown below 25,000 → 24,800.
  • Bank Nifty: Fall towards 56,000-55,800.

What Traders Should Watch?

🔹 FII Cash Activity – If they turn buyers, market may recover.

🔹 Nifty 25,000 & Bank Nifty 56,000 – Critical support levels.

🔹 Global Cues – US Fed policy & global market trends.

Final Verdict: Bearish to Sideways

  • Short-term trend remains weak unless FIIs reverse selling.
  • Trade cautiously – Watch 25,000 (Nifty) & 56,000 (Bank Nifty) for support.

📢 Follow for real-time updates & trading strategies!

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Market Prediction Guide

(Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.)

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