Market Prediction for 18 July 25 – Bearish Trend Continues?
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis Based on FII/DII Activity & Option Chain Data
📉 Key Takeaways for July 17, 2025:
- Nifty closed at 25,111.45 (-0.40%), Bank Nifty at 56,828.80 (-0.60%).
- FIIs were net sellers (-₹3,670 Cr), while DIIs bought ₹2,717 Cr.
- Pro traders increased short positions, signaling caution.
- Critical Levels:
- Nifty Support: 25,000 | Resistance: 25,300
- Bank Nifty Support: 56,500 | Resistance: 57,500
Today’s Market Overview
- Nifty: 25,111.45 (-0.40%)
- Bank Nifty: 56,828.80 (-0.60%)
- FIIs (Cash Market): Net Sellers (-₹3,670 Cr)
- DIIs (Cash Market): Net Buyers (+₹2,717 Cr)
Key Observations:
✅ FIIs selling heavily → Bearish pressure.
✅ DIIs provided support, but not enough to reverse trend.
✅ Pro traders increased shorts → More downside risk.
✅ Range-bound movement: Nifty (25,101-25,238), Bank Nifty (56,780-57,262).
Derivative Market Analysis
FII & Pro Trader Activity (Bearish Signals)
Participants | Index Futures (Short Increase) | Index Options (Call Writing) |
|---|---|---|
FIIs | +8,359 contracts short | Heavy call writing (-90,220) |
Pro Traders | +3,504 contracts short | Aggressive put selling (-450,675) |
| DIIs | -2,000 contracts short | Minor call buying (+1,500) |
📌 Key Insight: FIIs & Pro traders are betting on downside, while DIIs provide mild support.
Nifty Option Chain
- Highest Call OI: 25,500 (73,698 contracts) → Strong Resistance
- Highest Put OI: 25,000 (3,37,412 contracts) → Major Support
- PCR (Put-Call Ratio): 0.85 (Bearish)
📌 Prediction:
- If Nifty holds 25,000, bounce to 25,200-25,300 possible.
- If 25,000 breaks, sharp fall to 24,800 likely.
Bank Nifty Option Chain
- Highest Call OI: 57,500 (33,516 contracts) → Resistance
- Highest Put OI: 56,000 (71,207 contracts) → Support
- PCR: 0.78 (Bearish)
📌 Prediction:
- If Bank Nifty holds 56,500, recovery to 57,000-57,200 possible.
- If 56,000 breaks, next support at 55,800.
Market Prediction for July 18, 2025
Bullish Scenario (If FIIs Stop Selling)
- Nifty: Recovery to 25,200-25,300.
- Bank Nifty: Bounce to 57,000-57,500.
Bearish Scenario (If FIIs Keep Selling)
- Nifty: Breakdown below 25,000 → 24,800.
- Bank Nifty: Fall towards 56,000-55,800.
What Traders Should Watch?
🔹 FII Cash Activity – If they turn buyers, market may recover.
🔹 Nifty 25,000 & Bank Nifty 56,000 – Critical support levels.
🔹 Global Cues – US Fed policy & global market trends.
Final Verdict: Bearish to Sideways
- Short-term trend remains weak unless FIIs reverse selling.
- Trade cautiously – Watch 25,000 (Nifty) & 56,000 (Bank Nifty) for support.
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(Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.)