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Nifty Bank & Nifty 50 Morning Market Update

September 2, 2025 - Key Levels & Trading Strategy
1 September 2025 by
P. Kalita
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Nifty Bank & Nifty 50 Morning Market Update:

September 2, 2025 - Key Levels & Trading Strategy- Strong Start to September Week

The Indian stock market kicked off September 2025 on a positive note, with both Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty showing promising signs of recovery after a three-day correction phase. As markets opened on Tuesday, September 2, 2025, GIFT Nifty was trading 40 points higher, indicating mild positivity for the day ahead.

Nifty 50 Performance Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,625 points on September 1, marking a significant gain of 198 points (0.81%). This bounce-back came after the index took crucial support at the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acted as a psychological support level around 24,500.

Key Technical Levels for Nifty 50:

  • Resistance: 24,800 (crucial level to watch)
  • Support: 24,500 (psychological support)
  • Target: 25,000 (if resistance breaks)

The index formed a long bullish candle on the daily timeframe, negating the lower highs of the previous six consecutive sessions. However, technical indicators show mixed signals with RSI at 45.5 and MACD still showing negative crossover.

Bank Nifty Strong Recovery

Bank Nifty demonstrated impressive strength with a jump of 347 points to close at 54,002, successfully defending the crucial 54,000 level. This marked a significant recovery after five consecutive days of selling pressure.

Bank Nifty Key Levels:

  • Resistance: 54,500
  • Support: 53,500
  • Critical Level: 54,000 (psychological support)

Top Market Gainers: Auto Sector Leads the Rally

The auto sector emerged as the star performer on September 1, driven by two key factors:

Auto Sector Performance:

  • Bajaj Auto: +4% (top gainer)
  • Mahindra & Mahindra: +4%
  • Tata Motors: +3.14%
  • Hero MotoCorp: +3%

Catalysts for Auto Sector Rally:

1. Excellent Auto Sales Numbers

August 2025 auto sales data exceeded expectations, including both domestic and export figures, providing strong fundamental support for the sector.

2. GST Reduction Expectations

The market is anticipating a GST slab reduction from 28% to 18% for two-wheelers, which could significantly boost demand. According to Jefferies research, this 7-10% GST rate cut could result in a 6-8% fall in on-road prices for most vehicles.

Precious Metals Hit New Highs

Gold Prices Surge

Gold prices reached new all-time highs, crossing the ₹15,000 level per 10 grams on MCX. In retail markets across India.

  • 24 Karat Gold: ₹104,812 per 10 grams (+0.98%)
  • 22 Karat Gold: ₹96,078 per 10 grams

Silver Prices Rally

Silver also witnessed significant momentum, reaching ₹1,23,000 per kilogram, marking an impressive 45.54% annual growth.

City-wise Silver Rates (September 2, 2025):

CitySilver Rate (per kg)
New Delhi₹1,23,460
Mumbai₹1,23,460
Bangalore₹1,23,770

Market Internals and Fund Flows

Foreign vs Domestic Investment

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued their selling streak, offloading ₹1,430 crore worth of stocks. However, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided strong support with purchases worth ₹4,345 crore, maintaining market stability.

Options Data Analysis

The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) improved significantly from 0.71 to 1.14, indicating increased optimism among traders. Key options data reveals:

Nifty Options:

  • Maximum Call Writing: 25,000 strike
  • Maximum Put Writing: 24,500 strike

Bank Nifty Options:

  • Maximum Call OI: 56,000 strike
  • Maximum Put OI: 54,000 strike

Volatility and Risk Assessment

The India VIX declined to 11.29 from 11.75, indicating reduced market volatility and a more stable trading environment. This lower volatility suggests that sharp directional moves are less likely in the near term.

Currency and Bond Market Update

The Indian Rupee remained at record lows around 88.20 against the US Dollar. The currency showed mild strength against Euro and Japanese Yen but weakness against Pound Sterling.

Corporate Earnings and Results

Several companies reported their quarterly results:

Highway Infrastructure Results:

  • Profit Growth: +71%
  • Revenue Growth: +4.55%

NMDC Performance:

  • Iron Ore Production: +10%
  • Sales Growth: +8%

Coal India Updates:

  • Production Growth: +9.4%
  • Offtake Growth: +7.6%

Economic Data Highlights

India's Q1 FY26 GDP growth of 7.8% exceeded expectations, reinforcing investor confidence in the economy's resilience. The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.3 in August, reflecting sustained strength in the manufacturing sector.

Trading Strategy and Outlook

For Nifty 50:

  • Range Trading Expected: Between 24,500-24,800
  • Breakout Target: 25,000 if resistance is crossed
  • Support Levels: 24,500 and 24,420

For Bank Nifty:

  • Immediate Resistance: 54,500
  • Strong Support: 54,000
  • Pullback Target: 54,800-55,400 levels

Sector-wise Performance Summary

SectorPerformance
Auto+2.8% (Top Gainer)
Consumer Durables+2.08%
Metal+1.64%
IT+1.59%
Pharma-0.12% (Slight decline)

Risk Factors to Monitor

  1. US Tariff Uncertainties: Impact expected from Q2 onwards
  2. GST Revenue Concerns: Potential government borrowing increase
  3. FII Selling Pressure: Continued foreign outflows
  4. Global Market Volatility: Asian markets showing mixed trends

Market Outlook: Cautious Optimism

Based on the technical analysis and options data, the market is expected to witness mild positivity with a tendency to remain range-bound. Key factors supporting this view:

  • Strong support levels holding
  • Improved Put-Call ratio
  • Reduced volatility
  • DII buying support

However, traders should avoid expecting major directional moves or significant short covering in the immediate term.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  1. Auto Sector: Strong buy on GST reduction expectations
  2. Precious Metals: Gold and silver at all-time highs
  3. Banking: Recovery signs but cautious approach needed
  4. Market Range: 24,500-24,800 for Nifty 50
  5. Support Levels: Crucial to maintain for continued recovery

The market's ability to sustain above key support levels will determine the sustainability of this recovery rally. Investors should focus on stock-specific opportunities while maintaining disciplined risk management strategies.

Stay ahead in the Indian stock market update with a concise Nifty 50 today review and in-depth Bank Nifty analysis, pinpointing key Nifty technical levels for the September 2 2025 market. Discover how the auto sector GST reduction is driving sectoral gains, while soaring gold prices India make headlines in stock market news today.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock market investments are subject to market risks.


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