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Technical Analysis for 25th February 2026

Nifty, Bank Nifty & Sensex Predictions based on derivative market data, option chain analysis, FII/DII positioning, and detailed price action.
24 February 2026 by
Technical Analysis for 25th February 2026
Pranjal Kalita (P.Kalita)
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Technical Analysis for February 25,  2026 – 

Nifty Predictions, Bank Nifty Predictions & Sensex Predictions

Introduction

The Indian Stock Market continued to trade in a broadly range-bound but volatile structure ahead of the 25th February 2026 session, with Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Sensex oscillating within well-defined support and resistance zones. This Technical Analysis report blends price action, option chain behavior, and sentiment cues to build a practical Market Prediction for tomorrow.

Nifty remains locked in a consolidation band near the 25,500–25,800 region, while Bank Nifty is holding above key support around 60,900–61,000 despite intermittent intraday selling. Sensex, too, is trading near a congestion zone where bulls and bears are repeatedly testing the 83,000–83,600 band.​

On the derivatives side, high open interest concentrations on both call and put strikes are clearly defining the intraday battlefield for index traders, and option chain readings around the 26,000 mark for Nifty and 61,500–61,700 band for Bank Nifty continue to act as strong resistance layers. Against this backdrop, Technical Analysis becomes the primary tool to decode tomorrow’s trade setups and refine Nifty Predictions, Bank Nifty Predictions, and Sensex Predictions.

Global Market & Sentiment Overview

While the primary focus of this report is on domestic Technical Analysis, global cues remain an important backdrop for any short-term Market Prediction. US equities have been oscillating between mild risk-on and risk-off phases as traders digest economic data, with index futures often spilling over into SGX/ GIFT Nifty behavior during early Asian hours.​

Asian markets have largely mirrored this choppy sentiment, with several key indices also consolidating near recent highs and showing signs of volatility expansion without a sustained directional breakout. This globally range-bound structure is consistent with what we observe in Nifty Technical Analysis and Bank Nifty Technical Analysis – a market that wants to move higher but is repeatedly capped by overhead supply.​

Crude oil and the dollar index remain important macro levers; elevated but non-explosive crude prices and a relatively firm dollar tend to cap aggressive upside in risk assets while still allowing for rotational rallies within equities. For tomorrow’s Market Analysis for Tomorrow, the key point is that global cues are not in a runaway trend, which again reinforces a “trade the levels, not the noise” approach using disciplined Technical Analysis.​

Nifty Technical Analysis

Nifty 50 is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a well-defined range where immediate support lies around 25,500–25,400 and resistance emerges near 25,650–25,750, with a higher resistance shelf around 25,800–26,000. This structure reflects a market that is digesting prior gains while waiting for a fresh trigger to break out of the range.

On the daily chart, the recent candles indicate indecision: small-bodied candles with wicks on both sides suggest persistent tug-of-war between buyers near the lower band and sellers closer to the resistance zone. Prices have slipped below the 20-, 50- and 100-day EMAs intraday but continue to find buying interest near the 200-day EMA cluster around 25,300–25,200, confirming this area as a strong positional demand zone.​

Nifty Support & Resistance Levels

Based on current price action and derivative positioning, the key Nifty levels for 25th Feb 2026 are:

  • Immediate support: 25,500–25,450 zone.​
  • Deeper support: 25,300–25,200 near the 200-day EMA and structural demand base.​
  • Immediate resistance: 25,650–25,750 band where overhead supply frequently appears.​
  • Major resistance: 25,800–26,000, where repeated rejection and heavy call OI are visible.

These levels are crucial for short-term Technical Analysis as they define the risk–reward for intraday and swing traders.

Nifty OI Data & PCR View

The Nifty option chain currently shows significant call open interest buildup near the 25,800 and 26,000 strikes, indicating that writers are defending this zone as a strong supply area. On the downside, higher put open interest is concentrated around 25,500 and lower, confirming this band as a key support region that buyers are keen to defend.

Typically, when call OI is dominant at higher strikes and put OI is clustered just below spot, the put–call ratio tends to hover around neutral to slightly bearish, signaling a cautious stance rather than aggressive bullishness. For tomorrow’s Market Prediction, this mix of OI data and PCR suggests that Nifty may continue to remain range-bound unless a strong breakout above 25,800 or breakdown below 25,450 materializes.

Tomorrow’s Nifty Predictions (25th Feb 2026)

From a Nifty Technical Analysis point of view, the index is likely to oscillate within the 25,450–25,800 band with intraday spikes possible on either side. A sustained move and close above 25,800 could open the path toward the psychological 26,000 mark and possibly invite short covering from call writers at that strike.

On the other hand, if Nifty slips below 25,450 with volume support, the downside may extend toward 25,300–25,200, where the 200-day EMA and previous swing lows coincide. Until one of these boundaries is taken out decisively, the preferred Technical Analysis stance remains “range trade with respect for levels,” aligning with a neutral-to-slightly negative Nifty Predictions bias.​

Bank Nifty Technical Analysis

Bank Nifty has shown relative resilience compared to Nifty, with the index holding above most of its major moving averages and trading in a slightly higher band. The recent price action indicates that 60,900–60,600 is acting as a crucial support pocket, while 61,500–61,700 has emerged as a strong resistance cap for the near term.

Daily candles in Bank Nifty have been forming in a narrow range, with mild upper wicks near resistance zones, indicating profit booking at higher levels but not yet a full-fledged reversal. This is typical of a market that is consolidating after a prior up-move, a classic setup in Technical Analysis where traders wait for breakout confirmation rather than pre-empting a big trend.​

Bank Nifty Key Levels

For 25th Feb 2026, the critical intraday and positional levels for Bank Nifty Technical Analysis are:

  • Immediate support: 61,000–60,900 band.​
  • Stronger support: 60,600–60,000, where structural buying has previously emerged.
  • Immediate resistance: 61,500–61,700 short-term supply zone.​
  • Higher resistance: 62,000–62,300 as a potential breakout target if 61,700 is decisively crossed.

These levels should be closely watched on 15-minute and hourly charts for confirmation patterns such as breakouts, retests and failed breakouts.

Option Data Interpretation for Bank Nifty

The Bank Nifty option chain reflects concentrated call OI around the 61,500–62,000 zone, aligning with the technical resistance highlighted on the chart. On the downside, high put OI around 61,000 and 60,500 suggests that option writers are expecting this area to act as a floor in the immediate term.

When combined, this OI profile signals a narrow but well-defined trading corridor, where breaks of either boundary could trigger a sharp directional move due to unwinding of existing positions. For short-term Market Analysis for Tomorrow, Bank Nifty option data slightly favors a buy-on-dips strategy as long as 61,000–60,900 is protected on closing basis.

Tomorrow’s Bank Nifty Predictions (25th Feb 2026)

Our Bank Nifty Predictions for 25th Feb 2026 point to a range-bound to mildly bullish bias, provided the index sustains above 61,000 in early trade. A clean breakout and sustained trade above 61,700 could trigger a rally toward 62,000–62,300, driven by short covering in out-of-the-money calls.

If, however, Bank Nifty slips below 60,900 with increasing volume and fails to reclaim that level on pullbacks, the downside may extend toward 60,600–60,000, where positional buyers may again attempt to defend the structure. In the language of Technical Analysis, this keeps Bank Nifty in a “buy the dip, sell near resistance” framework until a decisive breakout or breakdown reshapes the medium-term Market Prediction.​

Sensex Technical Analysis

Sensex has been trading close to a mid-zone area around 83,000 where it repeatedly oscillates between support and resistance bands without establishing a clean directional move. Recent intraday patterns show alternating green and red candles with overlapping ranges, a classic sign of consolidation in Technical Analysis.​​

From the levels perspective, Sensex has seen resistance pressure near the 83,600–84,000 region, while dips toward 82,400–82,000 have attracted buying interest. This sets up a broad oscillation band that traders can use for intraday index futures and options strategies.​​

Sensex Support & Resistance

For 25th Feb 2026, the important Sensex levels derived from recent price behavior are:

  • Immediate support: 82,400–82,000 zone where recent dips have been defended.​​
  • Secondary support: 81,500–81,200 if the immediate band fails to hold.​
  • Immediate resistance: 83,600–84,000 overhead supply band.​
  • Higher resistance: 84,500–85,000 as a potential upside extension zone on strong momentum.​

These levels provide the scaffolding for short-term Sensex Technical Analysis and tomorrow’s trading plan.

Tomorrow’s Sensex Predictions (25th Feb 2026)

Given the current momentum structure, Sensex Predictions for 25th Feb 2026 lean toward continued consolidation unless the index breaches either 82,000 on the downside or 84,000 on the upside with strong volume confirmation. A breakout above 84,000 could quickly push prices toward 84,500–85,000, while a breakdown below 82,000 may open room toward 81,500 or lower.​​

From a Technical Analysis perspective, traders should focus on 15-minute and hourly closing prices around these zones to avoid being trapped in intraday whipsaws, which are common when volatility rises within ranges.​

Market Analysis for Tomorrow (25th Feb 2026)

This section brings together Nifty Predictions, Bank Nifty Predictions and Sensex Predictions into a unified Market Analysis for Tomorrow, covering both bullish and bearish setups.

Bullish Setup

A constructive, bullish scenario for 25th Feb 2026 would be built around the following triggers:

  • Nifty: Holds above 25,500–25,450 on dips and then breaks above 25,800 with sustained trade and strong volume toward 26,000.
  • Bank Nifty: Maintains 61,000–60,900 on closing basis and gives a breakout above 61,700, opening upside toward 62,000–62,300.
  • Sensex: Trades above 83,600 and sustains, inviting momentum toward 84,000–84,500.​​

In this bullish Market Prediction setup, traders can look for long positions in index futures or buy call options near support zones, focusing on risk-defined strategies given the still-elevated volatility.

Bearish Setup

A bearish scenario for 25th Feb 2026 gets activated if critical supports fail decisively:

  • Nifty: Breaks below 25,450 and fails to reclaim it, exposing 25,300–25,200 as the next downside target.​
  • Bank Nifty: Sustains below 60,900, opening room toward 60,600–60,000 where the next layer of demand is visible.​
  • Sensex: Slips below 82,000 and stays weak, creating space for a decline toward 81,500 or lower.​

Under this bearish Market Prediction, shorting near breakdown levels or using put options/ bearish spreads becomes a more favorable approach, again with strict position sizing and stop-loss discipline based on Technical Analysis of levels.​

Breakout & Breakdown Levels (Intraday Focus)

For intraday traders who rely heavily on Technical Analysis, the following breakout/breakdown levels can act as reference triggers:

  • Nifty breakout: Above 25,800; Nifty breakdown: Below 25,450.
  • Bank Nifty breakout: Above 61,700; Bank Nifty breakdown: Below 60,900.
  • Sensex breakout: Above 84,000; Sensex breakdown: Below 82,000.​​

Watching how price behaves around these levels on 5-minute and 15-minute charts can provide high-probability entries consistent with tomorrow’s Market Prediction.

Option Matrix India’s View

Option Matrix India is built around the philosophy that combining price action, Technical Analysis, and derivative data like open interest, PCR and institutional positioning offers the most robust framework for short-term trading decisions. Our tools and approach are optimized for mobile-first traders who need to see levels, OI clusters and market bias at a glance.​

For the 25th Feb 2026 session, Option Matrix India’s directional bias is neutral-to-slightly bullish as long as Nifty continues to hold above 25,500 and Bank Nifty defends 61,000 on closing basis. Sensex remaining above 82,000 also supports this mildly constructive stance, although the index is clearly in a consolidation structure that requires confirmation before aggressive positioning.​

From a risk management perspective, traders should:

  • Avoid over-leveraging on either side while the indices remain inside the highlighted ranges.
  • Place stop losses just beyond key support or resistance bands rather than extremely tight levels to avoid getting shaken out by normal volatility.
  • Size positions as a fixed percentage of capital per trade, especially when deploying options strategies with defined risk.

Ideal Strategy (CE/PE Side Suggestion)

Given the current Technical Analysis and derivative landscape:

  • For Nifty:
    • Consider bullish call spreads (buying near-the-money calls and selling out-of-the-money calls) if price sustains above 25,650 and moves toward 25,800 with rising PCR and supportive OI shifts.
    • Consider bearish put spreads only if 25,450 is convincingly broken with strong intraday volume.​
  • For Bank Nifty:
    • Use buy-on-dips CE approaches near 61,000–60,900 with tight, chart-based stop losses, as long as put OI remains strong at these strikes.
    • Shift to PEs or short-futures strategies below 60,900, targeting 60,600–60,000.​
  • For Sensex:
    • Aggressive directional options should be avoided until 84,000 or 82,000 is clearly broken; instead, consider range-bound strategies like iron condors or strangles around the 83,000 zone, with strikes placed beyond the key support and resistance levels.​​

All of these strategies are grounded in disciplined Technical Analysis, focusing on high-probability levels rather than emotional trades.

Final Verdict for 25th Feb 2026

For 25th Feb 2026, the Indian Stock Market is poised for another session dominated by level-to-level moves rather than a runaway trend, with Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Sensex all trapped in clear consolidation bands. Nifty Predictions and Bank Nifty Predictions tilt slightly to the bullish side as long as critical supports at 25,500 and 61,000 respectively hold, while Sensex Predictions remain firmly range-bound between 82,000 and 84,000.​

A decisive breakout above 25,800 in Nifty or 61,700 in Bank Nifty could act as the trigger for a stronger upside move driven by short covering in call options, whereas breakdowns below 25,450 or 60,900 would favor bears with room for further downside. Until such confirmation emerges, traders should lean on Technical Analysis, respect the key support and resistance levels, and deploy options with defined risk rather than naked leveraged positions.

Disclaimer

This article is based on Technical Analysis, publicly available market data, and generalized derivative insights, and is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, index, or derivative instrument in the Indian Stock Market.

Trading and investing in equities, futures, and options involve substantial risk, including the risk of loss of capital. Past price action and Technical Analysis patterns do not guarantee future performance or outcomes. Before acting on any Market Prediction, Nifty Predictions, Bank Nifty Predictions, or Sensex Predictions discussed here, please consult your registered financial advisor or investment professional and consider your individual risk profile, investment objectives, and financial situation.

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